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The Dividend Double-Tax DeceptionThe folly of eliminating taxes on dividends.

This week's harebrained proposal to rocket stocks back up to their late-'90s peaks: Cut or eliminate the taxes on corporate dividends.

Wall Street economist Henry Kaufman urged abolishing the tax in Wednesday's Wall Street Journal. Writing in the New York Observer on the same day, Nicholas von Hoffman said investors' moods would improve if stocks paid 5 percent dividends and that all that's needed to convince companies to start paying them is a "slight change in ... income-tax law—eliminating the tax on dividends to people with gross incomes of, say, $300,000 or less." And if Congress stopped its "double taxation" of dividends, James Glassman, the co-author of Dow 36,000, argued in the American Enterprise, "shareholder dividends would recover, and small investors would regain a powerful tool for separating real successes in business from the impostors."

As someone who would like to see stocks go up rather than down and see taxes fall rather than rise, I'm sympathetic to the argument. But this proposal smacks more of bear-market desperation than intellectual good sense.

Dividends, like the Renault Fuego and a Flock of Seagulls, went out of fashion in the '90s. Instead of cutting checks to shareholders each quarter, companies retained earnings and invested them to expand capacity and improve productivity. The companies that notched the most impressive performances of the decade—Dell, Microsoft, et al.—didn't pay dividends. Investors plainly prefer their returns in the form of capital gains. After all, since the 1997 capital gains tax cut, such gains are frequently taxed at a lower rate than dividends. Today, the S&P 500 has an indicated dividend yield of just 1.7 percent—down from 6.3 percent in 1982.

The chief argument of those who advocate eliminating taxes on dividends is that they are subject to "double taxation." Shareholders pay taxes on dividends at the rate their ordinary income is taxed. And corporations cannot deduct dividends from their taxable income, meaning they pay taxes on them, too. Does that mean that dividends are double taxed? Only if you subscribe to the belief that corporations don't pay taxes, people do. Under this theory, since a company's profits are ultimately distributed to owners and shareholders in some form—dividends, profit sharing, salaries, or capital gains—any tax on corporate income, or any limits on the deductibility of items from taxable income, in effect taxes the same dollar of profits twice. This only makes sense if, like Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill, you don't draw a distinction between a corporation and the people who own it. "The corporations and businesses are just an intermediary between the citizens and the government," he said in an interview last year. (The logic of this dogma naturally leads its faithful to advocate abolishing the corporate income tax, as O'Neill does.)

But the double-taxation argument reflects a flawed understanding of what corporations do and why they are formed. Corporations are distinct entities. They are not merely passive conduits of cash. They are legal beings, chartered by states to perform certain objectives. They possess all sorts of prerogatives, rights, and protections not afforded to individuals. That's why people form corporations, and that's why it is just for corporations to pay taxes on their income. Too frequently, CEOs like O'Neill have failed to differentiate between themselves as individual citizens and the companies they run. (That may explain why Tyco's Dennis Kozlowski and Enron's Kenneth Lay thought there was nothing untoward about using their corporate treasuries as ATM machines.)

Besides, if we want to put dividends and capital gains on the same footing, the answer isn't to stop taxing dividends, it is to normalize the tax rates on capital gains so they are taxed just like other forms of income. Why create more invidious distinctions between different types of income?

Apart from philosophical reasons, there are plenty of substantive reasons to oppose eliminating the tax on dividends. Eliminating taxes on dividends would establish yet another source of tax-free income for the undeserving rich. The largest shareholders of many dividend-paying companies—New York Times and Ford, for example—are trusts whose beneficiaries are the descendants of company founders, for whom dividends are a chief source of income. Anybody who caught a glimpse of the Hilton family in Barbara Kopple's Hamptons documentary can surely understand why providing such people with more disposable income is undesirable.

Government tinkering with dividend taxation is sure to have unintended consequences. In this instance, it would create an incentive for companies to put more shares—instead of options—into the hands of bosses, so they could collect tax-free dividends. It might encourage corporations to pay out large dividends at the expense of their long-term health. Do we really want to provide executives with another tax-based incentive to enrich CEOs and other large, influential shareholders at the expense of a company's entire roster of stakeholders?

Unlike interest payments on bonds, dividend payments are voluntary. But companies that commit to pay dividends are effectively putting themselves on the hook for a liability. Firms that slash or eliminate their dividends frequently suffer retribution in the markets. Assuming a new liability may not be a wise move in a time that calls for companies to manage their cash positions conservatively.

Finally, there's something intellectually dishonest about free-marketers relying on government action to smooth the Dow's ride to 36,000 and beyond. Stocks didn't rise throughout the '80s and '90s because the government changed the tax code to encourage people to buy stocks—the capital gains tax was reduced only in 1997. They rose because investors believed that the promise of future earnings justified paying ever-higher prices for stocks in the present.

Just so, the principal reason for today's market malaise isn't a lack of dividends. Rather, it is falling profits and investors' unwillingness to believe that earnings in the future will be higher (and more accurately calculated) than they are today.

Never mind, say the dividend-tax eliminators. If we just confer tax advantages on dividends, more companies will start paying them, and investors in search of a quasi-guaranteed yield will rush to buy stocks again, bidding them up from their current depressed levels. "If the tax on dividends is lifted, CEOs who want their companies' share prices to go up will pay dividends," von Hoffman argues. Of course, once stocks rise, without a commensurate rise in earnings—and hence the ability to increase dividends—the dividends yield will plummet to an insignificant figure. A $20 stock that pays a 15 cent quarterly dividend yields 3 percent. The same stock at $40 yields a paltry 1.5 percent.

Neither the government—nor any other powerful entity, like an investment bank or a TV network—should be taking action that encourages people to bid stocks up without evidence of earnings growth. That's how we got into this mess in the first place.

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Daniel Gross is the Moneybox columnist for Slate and the business columnist for Newsweek. You can e-mail him at and follow him on Twitter. His latest book, Dumb Money: How Our Greatest Financial Minds Bankrupted the Nation, has just been published in paperback.
COMMENTS

Notes From The Fray Editor:

A new batch of excerpts for the recycled version of this article. snsh explains is detail below why the subject of dividend taxation might be near and dear to Microsoft's heart. PhilfromCalifornia responds with a radical proposal to eliminate corporate taxes and personhood, and snsh responds in detail. I have clipped the most relevant part of the follow-up. Below those excerpts are two posts from Moneybox Fray stalwart ChasHeath. In the first, he has done some quick and dirty spreadsheeting you can use to impress your "liberate-my-dividends" friends; in the second, he makes the essential point about which double tax is most common.

Remarks From The Fray:

The most visible case study of dividend taxation is Microsoft, which the author too briefly refers to. Microsoft is the poster-child of the issue, due to their $40 billion savings account. Microsoft does not pay dividends by saying the cash is necessary to safeguard the company, make acquisitions, etc. Everybody knows that Microsoft is not inclined to pay dividends for a different reason.

Microsoft is controlled by long-term investors (Bill Gates and senior Microsoft employees) who have been gradually selling off shares, paying the lowest tax rate (20%) on their stock. If instead Microsoft paid dividends, Bill Gates would pay the highest tax rate (40%) on the dividends. In theory, Microsoft stock price already accounts for the $40 billion cash, and the cash is secure as long as Bill Gates is in charge. So, it is in the interest of the people who control Microsoft to not pay dividends.

Is this bad? I don't know. Microsoft is a unique case but also an interesting one. Ralph Nader says Microsoft is robbing the US treasury of taxes. Nader also says that dividends would bring control of the cash to individual investors (i.e. Microsoft should sell software not manage an investment portfolio). Nader also says dividends would benefit other Microsoft investors like small shareholders and pension funds.

I believe this is the crux of the dividend-tax issue. Of primary importance is who should end up with direct control over profits: corporations or shareholders? The answer is not obvious.

Of secondary importance is the timing of the dividend-tax issue, which the author does discuss. Tax changes made today will probably benefit today's shareholders more than future shareholders. (Politically, I think that factor will affect dividend tax law more than any other factor.)

So, the author should focus separately on whether taxes on dividends is good/bad, and whether changing taxes of dividends is good/bad. Those are two different issues.

-- snsh

(To reply, click
here.)


Well, the answer is to, at the very least, allow companies to expense dividends payed. A more satisfying answer is to admit, even pass a law to that effect, that corporations are not people, and cease to tax them. What will this accomplish? Well, first off, it will eliminate the flat tax which falls on the shoulders of all stockholders, at any income level, because their share of a corporation is taxes at the same rate. Next, it will eliminate the inefficient practice of running a business to escape taxes rather than running it to produce a product at the lowest real cost. It might even keep some of them from hiding their operations and assets offshore to shield them from taxes.

Concentrating for a moment on the concept of taking anthropomorphic status away from corporations would have the positive effect that they would no longer be protected by the Constitution, and would have no right to free speech (we are talking here about the corporation itself, through spokesmen). They would have no right to privacy, including their financial records. They would have no right to contribute to or participate in political campaigns. And, they would have no right to trial by jury (and just who are their peers, anyway?).

All together, it seems like a fair deal for the corporations: no taxes and no peoplehood.

-- PhilfromCalifornia

(To reply, click
here.)


My bias on changing corp taxes is this: complexity is necessary for fairness. The answer to tax issues is gray, not black and white. A complex tax law is potentially more practical and fair than a simple flat tax or no tax. To prevent loopholes, taxes should be spread out over everything -- income, sales, excise, gas, property, payroll, dividends, capital gains, etc. Yes, with multiple taxes there will sometimes be triple-taxation, but as long as the net tax is usually reasonable (i.e. 40% not 70%), then intelligent accountants will find ways around the worst cases and most everyone will be okay.

-- snsh

(To reply, click
here.)


One of the assumed truths that we've been hearing about corporate dividends lately is that dividend payments have been out of favor lately, compared with historical norms.

I decided to check into this. I suspect I could have gotten best data at BEA, but I didn't know which series to use, so instead I found another site that looks reliable, and picked a couple of historical data series. I went to this site, selected BUSINESS DATA, and then grabbed the two series for DIVIDENDS and CORPORATE NET CASH FLOW. Put them in a spreadsheet, and graphed it.

The surprising result? It appears that corporations have been paying out a higher fraction of cash flow through the 1990s (rising to around 40%) than through most of the post-war period, and the low point for payouts was during the 1970's and 1980's (around 25%).

So, why has the dividend rate of return fallen so much since the beginning of the big bull market, if companies are paying out more of their profits than they used to?

Price/Earnings ratios these days are a lot higher than they were, and P/E ratio is inversely proportional to yield.

-- ChasHeath

(To reply, click
here.)


The biggest double-tax is the payroll tax.

The payroll tax gets taken out, and then you're taxed again on the full income, unless you earn over $84,000 or get paid in incentive stock options.

However, since payroll tax is only paid on earned income, and is capped, Republicans don't even count this as a tax, much less as double taxation.

-- ChasHeath

(To reply, click
here.)

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