ReproofsThe odds of war.

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Chance of Invasion
Today: 66 percent

Saudi foreign minister says Saudi Arabia will decide to help U.S. in war only "if the United Nations asks" and "depending on the proof that they show." France's Chirac, who has Security Council veto power, adds, "The potential decision to use force must be explicit and taken by the … Council on the basis of a well-founded report from the inspectors." ElBaradei says inspectors "haven't seen any smoking gun." Saddam declares, "All the goals of the Security Council are against Iraq and are unjust and illegal." He accuses U.S. of trying "to open the chance for the inspection teams to operate beyond the declared aim of the Security Council," i.e., "spying." Peace spin: Vital allies demand that war be decided by U.N. War spin: Saddam is making it easy by denouncing U.N.

Yesterday: 69 percent

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William Saletan is Slate's national correspondent and author of Bearing Right: How Conservatives Won the Abortion War. Follow him on Twitter here.

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